Hey crypto addicts,

Bitcoin bottom predictions are back.

This time, a leading Chinese Bitcoin miner believes the market could find its cycle low between $42,000 and $44,000 in late 2026. The forecast is based on historical market cycles, miner economics, and the belief that Bitcoin may still have one final leg lower before the next major bull market begins.

While no one can accurately predict the exact bottom, miners are often watched closely because they have firsthand insight into production costs, network activity, and long-term industry conditions. Their outlook doesn't guarantee future price action, but it does provide another perspective on where value could emerge if the current cycle continues to weaken.

Whether the bottom arrives at $42K, $44K, or somewhere completely different, history suggests that the best long-term opportunities often appear when fear is highest and confidence is at its lowest.

Trying to time the exact bottom is almost impossible.

Being prepared for it is usually the better strategy. ☕

What we’ve covered for you today:

  • Ripple’s Puzzle

  • Influencers Need Licenses

  • Crime Doesn’t Pay

  • And more… 📰

Market Watch

Ripple's Puzzle

Ripple keeps landing major partnerships.

XRP keeps going nowhere.

Despite deals with JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, and SBI, the XRP price has struggled to respond, leaving many investors wondering why institutional adoption isn't translating into market performance. The answer is that many of these partnerships focus on Ripple's payment infrastructure, custody services, or the RLUSD stablecoin, rather than creating direct demand for XRP itself.

It's an important distinction.

A company can be growing rapidly while its token tells a very different story.

That doesn't mean XRP has no long-term potential, but it does mean investors need to understand exactly how these partnerships generate value and whether that value flows back to the token.

As institutional adoption continues to expand, the market will be watching for signs that increased network usage eventually translates into stronger demand for XRP.

Until then, Ripple may continue winning headlines...

While XRP waits for the market to notice.

Influencers Need Licenses

Being a crypto influencer just became a lot more serious in Indonesia.

The country's financial regulator now requires crypto influencers to obtain certification, disclose paid promotions, and only promote digital assets through licensed financial institutions. Companies working with influencers will also be held responsible for the content shared on their behalf.

The goal is simple: improve transparency and reduce misleading investment advice as more retail investors turn to social media for financial information.

It's another sign that regulators are shifting their focus beyond exchanges and toward the people influencing investment decisions online.

For creators, the rules mean more accountability.

For investors, they should mean fewer undisclosed promotions and clearer information about who's getting paid to recommend a project.

As crypto adoption continues to grow, expect more countries to introduce similar standards for financial content creators.

The days of promoting tokens with zero disclosure may be coming to an end.

Crime Doesn't Pay

China has handed down a death sentence to a man convicted of laundering more than $7 million through cryptocurrency, underscoring the country's zero-tolerance approach to large-scale financial crime.

According to authorities, the laundering operation was linked to serious criminal activity, with crypto used to move and conceal illicit funds. The case is one of the harshest penalties yet involving digital assets and highlights how aggressively China continues to pursue financial crimes involving cryptocurrency.

The case also serves as a reminder that while blockchain technology is neutral, governments around the world are increasing enforcement against those who use it for illegal purposes.

Crypto doesn't make crime invisible.

It just creates another trail for investigators to follow.

As adoption continues to grow, expect regulators and law enforcement to become even more aggressive in targeting money laundering and other illicit activity across the digital asset industry.

X Segment

Crypto Coffee Reads

Circle has partnered with Nomura to bring instant foreign exchange (FX) settlement to businesses in Japan, marking another step toward integrating stablecoins into traditional finance. The initiative aims to use blockchain technology to make cross-border payments faster, cheaper, and more efficient than existing banking infrastructure, with services expected to launch as early as 2027.

Polish crypto exchange Kanga has secured a MiCA licence in Latvia, allowing it to offer regulated crypto services across the European Economic Area under the EU's new Markets in Crypto-Assets framework. The approval gives Kanga access to the wider European market through a single regulatory licence and highlights Latvia's growing role as a hub for crypto businesses seeking MiCA authorisation.

As agentic commerce grows, legal experts say AI systems capable of making decisions, signing agreements, and completing transactions will require a new legal framework to address liability, consumer protection, compliance, and accountability. As AI agents take on bigger roles in business, governments and companies are working to ensure the rules evolve alongside the technology.

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